SupplyGraph AI

How Steel, Aluminum Tariffs & Oil Price Surges Are Squeezing GM’s Supply Chain

Tariff Change | SupplyChainDive
U.S. manufacturing activity expanded for the second month in a row, driven by new orders and backlog growth, as tariffs and rising oil prices inject uncertainty. According to the latest ISM PMI report, manufacturers face rising costs due to tariffs and inflation, with prices reaching their highest since June 2022. Despite this, manufacturing expanded last month, mainly due to growth in new and backlog orders. The ISM index recorded 52.4% in February, a slight decrease from January. A PMI below 50% typically indicates contraction. Since early 2026, three of the organization's four demand indicators—new orders, backlog orders, and new export orders—have been expanding. In February, new orders in the U.S. manufacturing sector grew significantly in four major industries: computers and electronics, chemicals, machinery, and transportation equipment. Customer inventories remain 'too low,' often triggering more orders and signaling positive growth. Manufacturing executives' sentiment on demand has improved, with two positive comments for every negative one. Comments on hiring and layoffs have also improved to a 1 to 1.4 ratio. The price index, a major concern in the report, recorded 70.5% in February, up 11.5 points from the previous month, mainly due to rising steel and aluminum prices and tariffs. Despite this, Spence remains optimistic about the latest results. However, a Supreme Court ruling may bring more uncertainty. ISM collected February's survey data before the court overturned the president's broad tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. Spence hopes the ruling will 'release' more customer orders, but remains cautious as the government seeks to replace IEEPA tariffs with other powers. Recent U.S. and Israeli attacks on Iran may add further uncertainty, disrupting tanker flows through the Strait of Hormuz and causing U.S. crude prices to surge over 12% on Monday. S&P Global's U.S. manufacturing PMI continues to grow at 51.6%, but notes this is the weakest growth in the past seven months.

Supply Chain Impact on General Motors

The tariffs on steel and aluminum, combined with rising oil prices and inflationary pressures, significantly affect General Motors (GM) through multiple layers of its supply chain. First, steel and aluminum are key raw materials—GM’s production of vehicle bodies, chassis, and many components depends heavily on steel and aluminum inputs (raw materials) which are now subject to steep import tariffs (e.g. 25%–50%) that began in early-to-mid 2025. These cost increases in raw materials directly raise GM’s input costs. ([automotivelogistics.media](https://www.automotivelogistics.media/supply-chain/us-extends-50-steel-and-aluminium-tariffs-driving-auto-supply-chain-risk/654907?utm_source=openai)) Second, many of GM’s components (engines, transmissions, interior parts) are produced by suppliers located in Canada, Mexico, or importing sub-materials from abroad. These ‘intermediate products’ are increasingly burdened by derivative tariffs or border crossings that now incur duties, inflating their cost before GM assembles vehicles. For example, components crossing US-Canada or US-Mexico borders multiple times are being hit by new or reinstated tariffs on steel and aluminum, making even intermediates substantially more expensive. ([automotivelogistics.media](https://www.automotivelogistics.media/supply-chain/us-extends-50-steel-and-aluminium-tariffs-driving-auto-supply-chain-risk/654907?utm_source=openai)) Third, downstream, GM must decide whether to absorb those higher costs, pass them on to consumers through vehicle price increases, or compress its margins. But rising input costs coincide with oil price increases, which also boost transportation, fuel, and energy costs across GM’s operations and logistics. This ‘double inflation’ squeezes GM’s profitability, particularly for lower-margin models. GM’s own disclosures show that raw materials like steel, aluminum, copper, and freight costs have been increasing, with adversities in sourcing and potential shortages threatening production schedules. ([investor.gm.com](https://investor.gm.com/static-files/b1007910-5036-49eb-b233-cad977f4f04d?utm_source=openai)) Finally, the cumulative effect is higher vehicle costs for consumers, potential demand softening, and increased uncertainty in GM’s supply chain strategy—urgency to increase US content, seek alternative suppliers, or redesign products to use less tariff-exposed materials. Such strategic shifts take time and investment, and during the transition period, GM remains exposed to volatility in raw material prices and policy risk. ([fastmarkets.com](https://www.fastmarkets.com/insights/gm-will-absorb-4-5-billion-in-tariffs-retain-current-auto-pricing-ceo/?utm_source=openai))

Risk Transmission Network to General Motors

Analytical Perspective

The recent expansion in U.S. manufacturing activity, despite the challenges posed by tariffs and rising oil prices, highlights a critical blind spot in traditional corporate management: the ability to swiftly and accurately assess the impact of global trade policy changes. In a complex and rapidly evolving environment, the difficulty lies in discerning which policy shifts will have a tangible effect on the business. The capability to monitor and interpret these changes in real-time is invaluable, providing clarity and foresight to navigate potential disruptions. SupplyGraph AI provides advanced supply chain risk intelligence agents, leveraging a large-scale enterprise and product dependency graph. Our platform integrates hundreds of millions of enterprise records and millions of product nodes, supported by a continuously expanding global risk event database. With the capability to process tens of thousands of global events daily, SupplyGraph AI enables businesses to monitor and address supply chain risks before they impact operations.
Explore Tariff Change Insights

Company Profile

General Motors (GM) is a leading global automotive company headquartered in Detroit, Michigan. Founded in 1908, GM designs, manufactures, and sells vehicles and vehicle parts worldwide. The company operates under several brands, including Chevrolet, Buick, GMC, and Cadillac. GM is committed to advancing an all-electric future and is investing heavily in electric vehicle technology and autonomous driving solutions. With a strong focus on innovation and sustainability, GM aims to shape the future of transportation.